Demo school · synthetic data
Running the forecast…
Running the forecast…
KHOU · Sent each evening at 6 PM to every instructor
Tonight, each instructor sees tomorrow's bookings with the odds each one actually flies: weather against that student's minimums and that aircraft's limits, maintenance conflicts, and no-shows. Slots likely to fall through come with students who could fill them, so the day keeps its billable hours.
Hourly flight category and wind. Ceilings past the TAF are estimates.
Probability the lesson happens as booked. Weather uses the student's phase minimums and the aircraft's limits.
| Time | Student | Aircraft | Instructor | Will fly | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00 AM 1.5h | Dakota Allen Private dual · FL3 Slow Flight and Introduction to Stalls | DEMO-2 | Alder, M. | 87% | Clear: weather 2% (Forecast) |
| 8:00 AM 2h | Logan Morgan Commercial · CFL5 Stage 1 Flight Check | DEMO-4 | Everly, P. | 87% | Clear: weather 2% (Forecast) |
Preview of tonight's email to M. Alder. Also available as a text message or on the dashboard.
Good evening M. Alder,
Here is Monday, Oct 19 at KHOU. You have 2 lessons booked; about 1.7 are likely to fly.
Reply STANDBY to message the standby students, or open the dashboard for the 3-day outlook.
| 8:00 AM 1.5h | Cameron Cook Commercial · CFL3 Chandelles | DEMO-5 | Castellan, R. | 88% | Clear: weather 2% (Forecast) |
| 10:00 AM 1.5h | Peyton Green Private dual · FL2 Straight and Level, Turns, Climbs, and Descents | DEMO-2 | Alder, M. | 86% | Historically 11% of 11 AM hours in these weeks were unflyable, mostly gusts and crosswind |
| 10:00 AM 2h | Skyler Martinez Commercial · CFL11 Full Maneuver Review and Oral Preparation | DEMO-3 | Brightwater, S. | 86% | Clear: weather 3% (Forecast) |
| 10:00 AM 2h | Kendall Hill Instrument · IFL1 Aircraft Control by Instrument Reference | DEMO-4 | Everly, P. | 88% | Clear: weather 2% (Forecast) |
| 12:00 PM 1.5h | Blake Jones Private dual · FL6 Stage 1 Flight Check | DEMO-3 | Brightwater, S. | 85% | Historically 14% of 1 PM hours in these weeks were unflyable, mostly gusts and crosswind |
| 12:00 PM 1.5h | Reese Johnson Private dual · FL4 Power-Off and Power-On Stalls | DEMO-5 | Castellan, R. | 85% | Historically 15% of 1 PM hours in these weeks were unflyable, mostly gusts and crosswind |
| 4:00 PM 2h | Hayden Garcia Private dual · FL10 Introduction to Cross-Country Navigation (Dual) | DEMO-1 | Dunmore, T. | 0% | This flight runs 1.8 hrs past the 100-hour inspection limit. |
Standby to fill this slot River RobertsInstrument · IFL2 Basic Instrument Maneuvers · DEMO-275%Instrument student: these conditions are training weather, not a cancellation; usually flies with this instructor Jordan RogersCommercial · CFL7 Eights on Pylons · DEMO-375%Flies with this instructor and is ready for the next lesson; usually flies with this instructor Hunter WrightPrivate dual · FL1 Orientation Flight and Cockpit Familiarization · DEMO-374%Flies with this instructor and is ready for the next lesson; usually flies with this instructor | |||||
| 4:00 PM 2h | Morgan Mitchell Instrument · IFL5 Stage 1 Flight Check | DEMO-5 | Castellan, R. | 87% | Clear: weather 3% (Forecast) |
Model: P(fly) = (1 − weather) × (1 − maintenance) × (1 − no-show). No-show uses the school average (8%) until cancellation history is connected; then it is per student.