Demo school · synthetic data
Running the forecast…
Running the forecast…
KHOU · Sent each evening at 6 PM to every instructor
Tonight, each instructor sees tomorrow's bookings with the odds each one actually flies: weather against that student's minimums and that aircraft's limits, maintenance conflicts, and no-shows. Slots likely to fall through come with students who could fill them, so the day keeps its billable hours.
Hourly flight category and wind. Ceilings past the TAF are estimates.
Probability the lesson happens as booked. Weather uses the student's phase minimums and the aircraft's limits.
| Time | Student | Aircraft | Will fly | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8:00 AM 1.5h | Dakota Allen Private dual · FL3 Slow Flight and Introduction to Stalls | DEMO-2 | 87% | Clear: weather 2% (Forecast) |
| 10:00 AM 1.5h | Peyton Green Private dual · FL2 Straight and Level, Turns, Climbs, and Descents | DEMO-2 | 86% | Historically 12% of 11 AM hours in these weeks were unflyable, mostly gusts and crosswind |
Model: P(fly) = (1 − weather) × (1 − maintenance) × (1 − no-show). No-show uses the school average (8%) until cancellation history is connected; then it is per student.
Preview of tonight's email to M. Alder. Also available as a text message or on the dashboard.
Good evening M. Alder,
Here is Monday, Oct 19 at KHOU. You have 2 lessons booked; about 1.7 are likely to fly.
Reply STANDBY to message the standby students, or open the dashboard for the 3-day outlook.